What you need to know about the election’s first-in-the-nation swing states
From the New York Times: *A new report from The New York Post’s election tracking team suggests that Trump may have won more than twice as many votes in Florida than Clinton did.
*The election results are not yet in, but Trump leads the national race in Florida by a significant margin.
In Florida, Trump leads by a whopping 22 percentage points.
*Florida’s vote counts are much closer than those of most other states.
It’s worth noting that the Florida results are less likely to be predictive of the rest of the country, as the margin of error is just a few percentage points higher in Florida.
For instance, in Virginia, Clinton won the state by just 537 votes.
Florida, on the other hand, was won by Trump by nearly 3 million votes, or just under 10 percentage points, according to The Post.
*Clinton’s advantage in Florida has narrowed in recent days.
Trump’s lead has grown, but the gap between the two candidates remains huge.
*In Virginia, Trump won by just 7,000 votes, compared to Clinton’s 10.5 million.
*Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in the popular vote by about 2 million, but she’s winning the Electoral College by a smaller margin.
*Trump is leading in all 50 states.
Clinton’s lead in Florida is even bigger.
In fact, Florida is the only state that is a toss-up.
The Associated Press has a map showing the electoral college probabilities in all 48 states.
Here are the biggest swing states for each candidate: *The popular vote is what we’re talking about.
If the popular-vote total were based on the electoral vote, Clinton would have won the election.
If you take into account the popular votes of the states where Trump’s margin of victory is larger than Clinton’s, then she would have also won.
*So why is Trump leading in Florida?
Because the electoral-college process is more likely to favor him, particularly if Trump is ahead in some battleground states.
Florida is a large swing state and Clinton is winning the state in some of the key battleground states as well.
It is also worth noting how Trump won the Electoral Act of 1828, which required states to vote for the winner of each congressional district, and the Electoral Reform Act of 1972, which gave states the power to choose their own delegates to the Democratic National Convention.
*If you consider all of those changes, Trump’s national popular vote margin in Florida would be about 2.6 million votes.
That’s a smaller than the national popular-turnout margin of the 2016 presidential election.
Clinton won the popular election by a huge margin in Virginia.
Trump is trailing in Virginia by more than 2 million votes but still leads the Electoral Vote by more votes than Clinton.
*”The electoral college system has a tendency to reward the candidate with the most votes, and it tends to favor the candidate who is most likely to win the popular contest.”
– Robert Erikson, former Republican National Committee chairman, in an interview with NPR.
(AP photo: Joe Raedle)A couple of points to keep in mind: *While the popular margin for Clinton in Florida may be larger than the total votes cast in the election, the margin for Trump is not large.
That said, it is still very likely that the popular result will come out the same.
This means that Florida will almost certainly end up being a close election.
*Some people have argued that the election results in Florida should be considered a statistical tie, meaning that Trump won only about 7% of the vote.
But this does not take into consideration the popular results, which are so much more likely than the popular margins.
*Even though Trump won about 8% of Florida’s vote, the state’s popular vote margins for Trump and Clinton are very similar.
*It is also not known whether there were any swing voters in Florida, as many states with a large number of votes are not listed on the state ballots.
The AP found that the states that do not include Florida are California, Nevada, Texas, Georgia, Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Illinois.
*The AP has a spreadsheet that breaks down how many votes were cast for each presidential candidate.
It shows how many states were won by the Democratic candidate and how many by the Republican candidate.
The table shows how the national vote was split in the November election, by which candidate each candidate won more votes: *Hillary: 332,079,723,788,038,902,634,053,811,081,812,073,903,904,917,938,832,943,099,941,853,856,966,732,851,741,983,969,823,857,819,841,